Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 17.063327 19.853682 22.905135 26.482929 30.555661 35.040061 40.344057
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 12.323138 16.092450 20.645066 26.514860 33.844861 42.655711 54.003657
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 9.364930 13.421252 18.723942 26.087883 35.960625 48.638683 66.032068
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 7.295729 11.327631 16.966281 25.300779 37.151003 53.211259 76.394974
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 6.028171 10.040741 15.991385 25.270841 39.138341 58.800607 88.407115
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 5.124641 9.098118 15.310577 25.471621 41.337719 64.737387 101.280698
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 4.063136 7.694852 13.682551 23.951497 40.693370 66.350871 107.859071
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.645855 7.291330 13.575001 24.783839 43.717965 73.657305 123.495347
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.378802 7.102275 13.784776 26.134707 47.667925 82.674908 142.434000
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.866613 6.362722 12.918327 25.504689 48.205836 86.214290 152.843252
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.364533 5.549491 11.794187 24.254087 47.501892 87.581659 159.710032
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.247292 5.506627 12.119813 25.707526 51.717851 97.557625 181.686797
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.167328 5.553832 12.672436 27.745176 57.362166 110.735632 210.651560
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.908994 5.160008 12.286217 27.918222 59.585995 118.152596 230.329342
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.639591 4.684076 11.651854 27.498656 60.610648 123.467489 246.657187
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.384031 4.184693 10.881944 26.678721 60.724720 127.054355 260.036936
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.218080 3.879475 10.502980 26.648405 62.425892 133.760408 279.687983
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.088387 3.643545 10.249059 26.859217 64.639102 141.611383 302.049763
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.885291 3.148799 9.275065 25.264624 62.778635 141.187116 308.262960
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.824136 3.064180 9.332408 26.137832 66.452044 152.261637 337.992070
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.790534 3.058864 9.598316 27.554715 71.485376 166.505005 375.016190
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.680664 2.777939 9.068364 26.893955 71.644385 170.486932 391.301841
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.564785 2.443950 8.328531 25.582095 70.113804 170.700758 399.731175